{
  "arms": [
    {
      "cpu_concurrent_batch_slots": 0,
      "cpu_online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
      "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3596.179812053888,
      "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.190693358574182,
      "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario_not_measured",
      "gpu_count": 64,
      "gpu_racks": 2,
      "id": "h100_native",
      "label": "H100 · native stack",
      "latency_percentile": "not-established",
      "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
      "lookup_conditional_acceptance": 0.8,
      "lookup_eligible_share": 0.25,
      "lookup_proposal_width": null,
      "lookup_ready_round_fraction": null,
      "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": null,
      "modeled_it_ac_kw": 67.2,
      "residual_miss_fraction": 0.3,
      "sidecar_count": 0,
      "slo_goodput": "not-established",
      "stack": "Dynamo + native MTP / local suffix lookup",
      "verified_correction_or_bonus_tokens": null,
      "warm_dram_sessions": 6327
    },
    {
      "cpu_concurrent_batch_slots": 64,
      "cpu_online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
      "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
      "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
      "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario_not_measured",
      "gpu_count": 64,
      "gpu_racks": 2,
      "id": "h100_software",
      "label": "H100 · Manifold software",
      "latency_percentile": "not-established",
      "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
      "lookup_conditional_acceptance": 0.954271052839686,
      "lookup_eligible_share": 0.7648534540781986,
      "lookup_proposal_width": 16,
      "lookup_ready_round_fraction": 0.5,
      "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": 11,
      "modeled_it_ac_kw": 69.2,
      "residual_miss_fraction": 0.14,
      "sidecar_count": 0,
      "slo_goodput": "not-established",
      "stack": "Manifold software on the same host estate",
      "verified_correction_or_bonus_tokens": 1,
      "warm_dram_sessions": 6245
    },
    {
      "cpu_concurrent_batch_slots": 96,
      "cpu_online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
      "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
      "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
      "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario_not_measured",
      "gpu_count": 64,
      "gpu_racks": 2,
      "id": "h100_full",
      "label": "H100 · Manifold rack",
      "latency_percentile": "not-established",
      "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
      "lookup_conditional_acceptance": 0.954271052839686,
      "lookup_eligible_share": 0.9070459328060372,
      "lookup_proposal_width": 16,
      "lookup_ready_round_fraction": 0.75,
      "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": 11,
      "modeled_it_ac_kw": 86.41086179694086,
      "residual_miss_fraction": 0.08,
      "sidecar_count": 1,
      "slo_goodput": "not-established",
      "stack": "Manifold software + Manifold rack (CPU-only Turin)",
      "verified_correction_or_bonus_tokens": 1,
      "warm_dram_sessions": 31466
    },
    {
      "cpu_concurrent_batch_slots": 0,
      "cpu_online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
      "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
      "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
      "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario_not_measured",
      "gpu_count": 64,
      "gpu_racks": 2,
      "id": "b200_native",
      "label": "B200 FP8 · native stack",
      "latency_percentile": "not-established",
      "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
      "lookup_conditional_acceptance": 0.8,
      "lookup_eligible_share": 0.25,
      "lookup_proposal_width": null,
      "lookup_ready_round_fraction": null,
      "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": null,
      "modeled_it_ac_kw": 96.0,
      "residual_miss_fraction": 0.3,
      "sidecar_count": 0,
      "slo_goodput": "not-established",
      "stack": "Dynamo + native MTP / local suffix lookup",
      "verified_correction_or_bonus_tokens": null,
      "warm_dram_sessions": 11266
    }
  ],
  "as_of": "2026-09-05",
  "assumption_classes": {
    "derived": "state bytes, timing residuals, component power, topology closure, service and resource admission arithmetic",
    "not_established": [
      "tail latency percentiles",
      "latency-SLO goodput",
      "qualified CPU drafter",
      "B200 TP4/FP8 measured speed",
      "complete Flash tier integration",
      "usable draft-round frequency"
    ],
    "planning_assumption": "all operating values not explicitly classified as published or derived, including miss, eligibility, acceptance, efficiency, transfer and CPU-achievement inputs",
    "published": "model geometry, engine layout, timing notes, hardware specifications and compatibility limits identified by P01-P13"
  },
  "calculated_state": {
    "bf16_width_16_bytes": 1836900352,
    "bf16_width_5_bytes": 1818517504,
    "bf16_width_8_bytes": 1823531008,
    "components_width_16": {
      "compressed_index": 51904512,
      "convolution": 31752192,
      "fp32_kda": 142606336,
      "growing_mla": 1610612736,
      "tail": 24576
    }
  },
  "calibration": {
    "b200": {
      "additive_residual_seconds": 0.00809526010608561,
      "anchor_seconds": 0.0191614,
      "calibration_batch": 16,
      "calibration_context_tokens": 8192,
      "calibration_draft_width": 5,
      "calibration_kv_element_bytes": 2,
      "calibration_tp": 8,
      "calibration_verification_queries": 6,
      "derivation": "anchor_seconds - raw_verifier_seconds - raw_mtp_seconds; verifier queries=k+1",
      "evidence_class": "unmeasured_extrapolation",
      "raw_mtp_seconds": 0.0015345379876923076,
      "raw_seconds": 0.011066139893914388,
      "raw_verifier_seconds": 0.00953160190622208,
      "simulated_accepted_length": 2.98
    },
    "h100": {
      "additive_residual_seconds": 0.005387104730950717,
      "anchor_seconds": 0.030515200000000003,
      "calibration_batch": 16,
      "calibration_context_tokens": 8192,
      "calibration_draft_width": 5,
      "calibration_kv_element_bytes": 2,
      "calibration_tp": 8,
      "calibration_verification_queries": 6,
      "derivation": "anchor_seconds - raw_verifier_seconds - raw_mtp_seconds; verifier queries=k+1",
      "evidence_class": "derived_from_reported_timing",
      "raw_mtp_seconds": 0.003231732507921929,
      "raw_seconds": 0.025128095269049286,
      "raw_verifier_seconds": 0.021896362761127358,
      "simulated_accepted_length": 2.98
    }
  },
  "countercases": {
    "cold_bootstrap": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "bootstrap": {
            "amortization_hours": 720,
            "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
            "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "bandwidth_bytes": 0.0,
            "compute_flops": 0,
            "recurring_admission_fraction": 0.0,
            "required_amortized_rates": {
              "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
              "compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
              "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0
            },
            "shadow_sessions": 0,
            "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": null,
            "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": null,
            "tokens": 0
          },
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "bootstrap": {
            "amortization_hours": 720,
            "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 129846643.51851852,
            "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 1422222222.2222223,
            "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 62692.9012345679,
            "bandwidth_bytes": 336562500000000.0,
            "compute_flops": 3686400000000000,
            "recurring_admission_fraction": 1.0,
            "required_amortized_rates": {
              "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 129846643.51851852,
              "compute_flops_per_s": 1422222222.2222223,
              "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 62692.9012345679
            },
            "shadow_sessions": 625,
            "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": 1051.7578125,
            "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": 262.939453125,
            "tokens": 2560000
          },
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "bootstrap": {
            "amortization_hours": 720,
            "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 6232638888.888889,
            "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 68266666666.666664,
            "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 3009259.2592592593,
            "bandwidth_bytes": 1.6155e+16,
            "compute_flops": 176947200000000000,
            "recurring_admission_fraction": 1.0,
            "required_amortized_rates": {
              "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 6232638888.888889,
              "compute_flops_per_s": 68266666666.666664,
              "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 3009259.2592592593
            },
            "shadow_sessions": 30000,
            "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": 14745.6,
            "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": 3686.4,
            "tokens": 122880000
          },
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "bootstrap": {
            "amortization_hours": 720,
            "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
            "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "bandwidth_bytes": 0.0,
            "compute_flops": 0,
            "recurring_admission_fraction": 0.0,
            "required_amortized_rates": {
              "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
              "compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
              "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0
            },
            "shadow_sessions": 0,
            "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": null,
            "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": null,
            "tokens": 0
          },
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": null,
      "online_output_effect": 0
    },
    "cpu_supply_zero": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3596.179812053888,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.190693358574182,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.018598654652423,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5740156056799818,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "equal_8_percent_misses": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7645.955050732498,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.4413780283574074,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 9980.478626862565,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 1.9259820035569641,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 24376.815454743883,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 1.0939356174794015,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 1.4197603138556374,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.09430070199293994,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "equal_lookup_profiles": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3744.0820858725815,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 4.98564567724115,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 6250.665669548049,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.075228021851963,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8481.93568184541,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.8298985121040885,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8645.719595543484,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.084377925050015,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 2.265424605365895,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.43239076835680046,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "native_miss_10": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 6935.888670589221,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.691315785649842,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 1.5651092539280729,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.17841140075680062,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "native_miss_20": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 4736.524996382602,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.941004572112013,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 2.291853954290248,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.43893636102325284,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "native_miss_30": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3596.179812053888,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.190693358574182,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.018598654652423,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5740156056799818,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "native_miss_40": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 2898.378736897343,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 6.440382145036353,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.7453433550145983,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.6566734214432732,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "native_miss_50": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 2427.372495383367,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 7.690070931498523,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.698096420042545,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1179843860885152,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 4.472088055376774,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.712466323633469,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "no_lookup": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3563.8735004886403,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.237746700074313,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 5764.075049785658,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.3348320513170653,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7610.174682172183,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.1540691466711106,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8536.167896411143,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.123962296697341,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 2.1353661068858805,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.397819458007322,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "prefill_minus_50_percent": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 2058.126575309556,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 9.06973695913677,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 4164.022042303043,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 4.616263321120838,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 6604.908504984438,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.634118042316994,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 4474.488336469389,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.959713080335817,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.2091847917521865,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5993138435336853,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "prefill_plus_50_percent": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 4789.175174383771,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.89767882505332,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 9337.034358163688,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.058707453016447,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 13819.990301263806,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 1.7368331411652211,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 12284.588843953565,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.1707414880060814,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 2.8856723335541887,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.554392955622386,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "timing_residual_minus_50_percent": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3668.1608566202744,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.08883535818152,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 7263.1725893580015,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.6465324877983236,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 11111.229777684737,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.160248473487914,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8629.365920149794,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.0902231882877174,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.0291010160122225,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5754925594095321,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "timing_residual_plus_50_percent": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 3527.0758176322543,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 5.292391667156649,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 6990.762406795437,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.7496603522867664,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10611.130745026298,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.262060259418415,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8477.377515137703,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 3.145626889807503,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 3.0084782107546553,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5725826050524123,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    },
    "zero_misses": {
      "arms": [
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 12948.333152184976,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 1.4416269991876711,
          "id": "h100_native"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 21441.500863795907,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 0.8964961149095235,
          "id": "h100_software"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 26044.353225834195,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 0.9216207811990346,
          "id": "h100_full"
        },
        {
          "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 74504.98536253652,
          "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 0.3579178834397237,
          "id": "b200_native"
        }
      ],
      "headline": {
        "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
        "delivered_output_ratio": 2.011405863575523,
        "energy_saving_fraction": 0.3607078795566745,
        "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
      }
    }
  },
  "diagnostics": {
    "cpu_neural_online_credit": 0,
    "diagnostic_scope": "nominal arms; independent tests additionally exercise boundaries and countercases",
    "energy_boundary": "modeled IT AC excluding facility PUE",
    "finite_values": true,
    "latency_percentiles": "not-established",
    "resource_conservation_checked": true,
    "slo_goodput": "not-established"
  },
  "equations": {
    "accepted_length": "sum(alpha^j for j=0..k); includes one correction/bonus output, with alpha conditional per-position draft survival",
    "blended_decode_seconds_per_output": "(1-eligible)/best_native_rate + eligible/max(best_native_rate,best_lookup_rate); eligible is output-token share, not verification-round share",
    "cpu_background": "forecasts=lambda*z*recall/precision; input/feedback and all candidates charge compute and bandwidth; beta=min(memory,compute,bandwidth,remaining transfer admission); required bootstrap work is separate from admitted recurring usage; online output credit=0",
    "energy_kwh_per_million": "IT_AC_kW*1e6/(3600*delivered_output_tokens_per_s)",
    "episode_service": "new_input + true_miss*retained_context prefill, decoded output, and exposed successful-restore service; capacity is min(GPU service, transfer admissions, offered load)",
    "group_capacity": "BW_eff=TP*bandwidth_per_GPU*efficiency; F_eff=TP*compute_per_GPU*efficiency; q=k+1 includes bonus-token query",
    "logical_state_bytes": "12*512*kvbytes*C + 12*132*ceil(C/4) + 34*64*128^2*4 + 34*3*64*128*(3+k)*2 + 12*4*2*128*2",
    "mtp_seconds": "k*(7.5e9+B*TP*2048*512*kvbytes)/BW_eff + B*TP*132*ceil(C/4)/BW_eff + mtp_fixed; k=0 is zero",
    "recurrent_query_bytes": "2*KDAbytes + TP*(11*2048*512*kvbytes + 11*132*ceil(C/4))",
    "sidecar_power": "u=active/64; component board DC -> fan/distribution branch -> PSU AC + switches + management",
    "target_output_share": "r*(D+1) / ((1-r)*A_native + r*(D+1)); r is per-sequence ready-round fraction and D excludes the verified correction/bonus token",
    "touched_weight_bytes_per_group": "Wfixed + (Wtotal-Wfixed) * (1-(1-active_experts/experts)^(B*q))",
    "verify_seconds": "max((W+B*q*R)/BW_eff, B*q*45e9/F_eff) + fixed + additive_calibration_residual",
    "warm_capacity": "largest integer n with n*target_state*1.1 + ceil(n*shadow_fraction)*260e6 <= usable_DRAM - suffix_store - packed_worker_weights; population occupancy is separate"
  },
  "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario",
  "headline": {
    "comparison": "h100_full / h100_native",
    "delivered_output_ratio": 3.018598654652423,
    "energy_saving_fraction": 0.5740156056799818,
    "warm_dram_capacity_ratio": 4.973289078552236
  },
  "inputs": {
    "arms": [
      {
        "hardware": "h100",
        "id": "h100_native",
        "label": "H100 · native stack",
        "lookup_eligible_share": 0.25,
        "manifold": false,
        "residual_miss": 0.3,
        "sidecar": false,
        "stack": "Dynamo + native MTP / local suffix lookup"
      },
      {
        "hardware": "h100",
        "id": "h100_software",
        "label": "H100 · Manifold software",
        "lookup_proposal_width": 16,
        "lookup_ready_round_fraction": 0.5,
        "manifold": true,
        "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": 11,
        "residual_miss": 0.14,
        "sidecar": false,
        "stack": "Manifold software on the same host estate"
      },
      {
        "hardware": "h100",
        "id": "h100_full",
        "label": "H100 · Manifold rack",
        "lookup_proposal_width": 16,
        "lookup_ready_round_fraction": 0.75,
        "manifold": true,
        "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": 11,
        "residual_miss": 0.08,
        "sidecar": true,
        "stack": "Manifold software + Manifold rack (CPU-only Turin)"
      },
      {
        "hardware": "b200",
        "id": "b200_native",
        "label": "B200 FP8 · native stack",
        "lookup_eligible_share": 0.25,
        "manifold": false,
        "residual_miss": 0.3,
        "sidecar": false,
        "stack": "Dynamo + native MTP / local suffix lookup"
      }
    ],
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "cpu": {
      "batch": 4,
      "bootstrap_amortization_hours": 720,
      "candidate_width": 8,
      "cold_shadow_fraction": 0.2,
      "context_tokens": 4096,
      "flops_per_token": 1440000000,
      "forecast_precision": 0.5,
      "forecast_recall": 0.5,
      "host_bandwidth_bytes_per_socket_s": 80000000000,
      "host_compute_flops_per_socket_s": 1000000000000,
      "host_increment_kw": 2.0,
      "host_maintained_episode_share": 0.1,
      "host_shadow_session_fraction": 0.1,
      "host_sockets": 16,
      "lookup_bytes_per_candidate": 512,
      "parameters": 600000000,
      "predicted_input_tokens": 256,
      "prefill_batch": 128,
      "sidecar_active_sockets": 24,
      "sidecar_bandwidth_bytes_per_socket_s": 200000000000,
      "sidecar_compute_flops_per_socket_s": 2000000000000,
      "sidecar_maintained_episode_share": 1.0,
      "sidecar_shadow_session_fraction": 1.0,
      "state_bytes_per_session": 260000000,
      "weight_bits": 2,
      "weight_packing_factor": 1.2
    },
    "evidence_class": "modeled_engineering_scenario",
    "gpu_model": {
      "active_experts": 8,
      "b200": {
        "bandwidth_bytes_per_gpu_s": 8000000000000,
        "base_estate_kw": 96.0,
        "batch": 64,
        "calibration_tpot_s": 0.00643,
        "fixed_s": 0.0012,
        "fp8_dense_flops_per_gpu_s": 4500000000000000,
        "hbm_bytes_per_gpu": 180000000000,
        "kv_element_bytes": 1,
        "max_node_kw": 14.3,
        "mtp_fixed_s": 0.0006,
        "prefill_tokens_per_group_s": 23108,
        "tp": 4
      },
      "calibration_accepted_length": 2.98,
      "calibration_batch": 16,
      "calibration_context_tokens": 8192,
      "compute_efficiency": 0.4,
      "experts": 288,
      "flops_per_query": 45000000000,
      "gpu_count": 64,
      "gpus_per_node": 8,
      "gpus_per_rack": 32,
      "h100": {
        "bandwidth_bytes_per_gpu_s": 3350000000000,
        "base_estate_kw": 67.2,
        "batch": 16,
        "calibration_tpot_s": 0.01024,
        "fixed_s": 0.002,
        "fp8_dense_flops_per_gpu_s": 1979000000000000,
        "hbm_bytes_per_gpu": 80000000000,
        "kv_element_bytes": 2,
        "max_node_kw": 10.2,
        "mtp_fixed_s": 0.001,
        "prefill_tokens_per_group_s": 23700,
        "tp": 8
      },
      "hbm_allocation_fraction": 0.9,
      "hbm_efficiency": 0.65,
      "lookup_batch_s": 0.0002,
      "lookup_max_width": 16,
      "mtp_max_width": 5,
      "mtp_sweep_bytes": 7500000000,
      "native_alpha": 0.8,
      "nonrouted_bytes": 9340000000,
      "resident_checkpoint_bytes": 328564998144,
      "trunk_sweep_bytes": 320000000000
    },
    "model_name": "GLM-5.3-Flash",
    "schema_version": 1,
    "sidecar": {
      "board": "Supermicro H13SSL-N R2.01",
      "board_count": 64,
      "board_other_w": 15.0,
      "breakout_cables": 72,
      "breakout_legs": 2,
      "cpu": "AMD EPYC 9355P",
      "cpu_active_w": 280.0,
      "cpu_park_w": 45.0,
      "cpu_vrm_efficiency": 0.92,
      "dimm_bytes": 96000000000,
      "dimms_per_board": 12,
      "distribution_efficiency": 0.95,
      "dram_active_w_per_board": 73.5,
      "dram_park_w_per_board": 31.5,
      "dual_homed_boards": 48,
      "external_host_count": 8,
      "external_ports_per_host": 2,
      "fabric_goodput_fraction": 0.7,
      "fan_active_fraction": 0.06,
      "fan_park_fraction": 0.032,
      "m_cells_w": 14.0,
      "management_w": 95.0,
      "memory_speed_mt_s": 6400,
      "nic": "Broadcom BCM957608-P2200GQF00",
      "nic_active_w": 15.0,
      "nic_count": 64,
      "nic_park_w": 14.0,
      "operating_socket_cap": 48,
      "port_bits_per_s": 200000000000,
      "psu_efficiency": 0.95,
      "psu_module_w": 3000,
      "psu_modules": 9,
      "single_homed_boards": 16,
      "switch": "Edgecore AS9716-32D",
      "switch_active_w": 400.0,
      "switch_cages_each": 32,
      "switch_count": 2,
      "switch_park_w": 350.0
    },
    "workload": {
      "context_tokens": 131072,
      "host_memory_bytes_per_node": 2000000000000,
      "host_restore_bytes_per_s": 50000000000,
      "new_input_tokens": 1024,
      "nvlink_broadcast_bytes_per_s": 450000000000,
      "nvme_cache_bytes_per_node": 8000000000000,
      "nvme_restore_bytes_per_s": 12000000000,
      "object_fixed_s": 0.02,
      "object_restore_bytes_per_s": 4000000000,
      "offered_output_tokens_per_s": 1000000,
      "output_tokens": 1024,
      "restore_exposed_fraction": 0.25,
      "restore_fixed_s": 0.002,
      "state_envelope": 1.1,
      "state_reserve_fraction": 0.2,
      "suffix_store_bytes": 15000000000,
      "working_sessions": 30000,
      "workspace_draft_width": 16
    }
  },
  "lineage": {
    "design": "Revision_J/planning/website_four_arm_2026-09-04/DESIGN.md",
    "model_source_sha256": "0284a6a3cef9b6857f16358f3809ea9dea2df5c22f554df7c08bff4fbf45a961",
    "scenario": "Revision_J/planning/website_four_arm_2026-09-04/scenario.json",
    "scenario_sha256": "0309e390be20dba1fddc09bdc695e032bb69e042f67bc9b29e2915a1e36220a0",
    "sources": "Revision_J/planning/website_four_arm_2026-09-04/SOURCES.md",
    "sources_sha256": "13f40558c03437af37b62debd70df6edd098464b1db73eb82a64a19ba119f832"
  },
  "model_name": "GLM-5.3-Flash",
  "per_arm_accounting": {
    "b200_native": {
      "cpu_background": {
        "active_sockets": 0,
        "admitted_shadow_sessions": 0,
        "bandwidth_demand_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
        "beta_components": {
          "bandwidth": 1.0,
          "compute": 1.0,
          "memory": 1.0,
          "transfer": 1.0
        },
        "bootstrap": {
          "amortization_hours": 720,
          "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
          "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
          "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
          "bandwidth_bytes": 0.0,
          "compute_flops": 0,
          "recurring_admission_fraction": 0.0,
          "required_amortized_rates": {
            "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
            "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0
          },
          "shadow_sessions": 0,
          "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": null,
          "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": null,
          "tokens": 0
        },
        "candidate_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "compute_demand_flops_per_s": 0.0,
        "concurrent_batch_slots": 0,
        "desired_maintained_episode_share": 0.0,
        "desired_shadow_sessions": 0,
        "effective_maintained_episode_share": 0.0,
        "enabled": false,
        "evidence_class": "unqualified_background_target_no_online_speed_credit",
        "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
        "external_transfer_capacity_bytes_per_s": 385556891544.92975,
        "failed_forecasts_per_s": 0.0,
        "forecasts_per_s": 0.0,
        "input_and_feedback_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
        "packed_worker_weights_bytes": 180000000.0,
        "remaining_candidate_capacity_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "resource_admission_beta": 0.0,
        "stored_warm_sessions": 11266,
        "transfer_contract": "online service has priority; background coverage is reduced to fit remaining host PCIe and Full attach capacity"
      },
      "decode": {
        "lookup": {
          "accepted_length": 4.161139200000001,
          "effective_rate": 7060.090739021996,
          "fallback_to_native": false,
          "rate": 7060.090739021996,
          "seconds": 0.03772089037440491,
          "width": 7
        },
        "lookup_widths_searched": [
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5,
          6,
          7,
          8,
          9,
          10,
          11,
          12,
          13,
          14,
          15,
          16
        ],
        "mtp_widths_searched": [
          0,
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5
        ],
        "native": {
          "accepted_length": 3.6892800000000006,
          "rate": 6410.740318423321,
          "seconds": 0.0368309911604828,
          "width": 5
        },
        "net_output_tokens_per_s": 6561.6161486148585
      },
      "episode_service": {
        "decode_seconds": 0.15605911360971092,
        "decoded_output_tokens": 1024,
        "exposed_restore_seconds": 0.01367238345753031,
        "new_input_tokens": 1024,
        "prefill_seconds": 1.7459581097455426,
        "total_seconds_per_group": 1.9156896068127838,
        "true_miss_recomputed_context_tokens": 39321.6
      },
      "hbm_admission": {
        "admitted": true,
        "allowed_bytes_per_rank": 162000000000.0,
        "batch": 64,
        "checkpoint_bytes_per_rank": 82141249536,
        "required_bytes_per_rank": 145559335731.2,
        "state_bytes_per_rank_with_envelope": 990907596.8000001
      },
      "mean_inter_token_seconds": 0.009753694600606932,
      "resource_admission": {
        "bytes_per_delivered_token_by_resource": {
          "gpu_service": 0.00011692441447831932,
          "host_h2d": 1688751.9993559504,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 1697995.91808,
          "nvme": 1032025.9694693908
        },
        "canonical_park_bytes_per_episode": 1031593984,
        "capacity_by_resource_tokens_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 8552.533741235238,
          "host_h2d": 236861.30358545863,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 2120146.439498324,
          "nvme": 93020.91501569263
        },
        "limiting_output_tokens_per_s": 8552.533741235238,
        "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
        "lookup_candidates_per_episode": 430.6512985674691,
        "lookup_rounds_per_episode": 61.521614081067014,
        "physical_host_count": 8,
        "resource_capacity_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 400000000000,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 3600000000000,
          "nvme": 96000000000
        },
        "total_use_per_s_including_cpu": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 14443108455.070234,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 14522167381.858906,
          "nvme": 8826436925.717974
        }
      },
      "restore": {
        "conditional_tier_mix": {
          "hbm": 0.034133333333333335,
          "host_dram": 0.37553333333333333,
          "nvme": 0.5903333333333334,
          "object": 0.0
        },
        "exposed_restore_seconds_per_episode": 0.01367238345753031,
        "independence_note": "conditional storage-tier mix is independent of the true residual-miss assumption",
        "nvme_can_retain_all_working_sessions": true,
        "tier_counts": {
          "hbm": 1024,
          "host_dram": 11266,
          "nvme": 17710,
          "object": 0
        },
        "tier_duration_seconds": {
          "hbm": 0.0,
          "host_dram": 0.02834678272,
          "nvme": 0.11431294805333334,
          "object": 0.30624527872
        },
        "true_residual_miss_fraction": 0.3,
        "weighted_successful_restore_seconds": 0.07812790547160178
      },
      "state": {
        "broadcast_bytes": 2571706368,
        "canonical_bytes": 1031593984,
        "components": {
          "compressed_index": 51904512,
          "convolution": 31752192,
          "fp32_kda": 142606336,
          "growing_mla": 805306368,
          "tail": 24576
        },
        "per_rank_bytes": 900825088,
        "replicated_bytes": 857235456,
        "serving_group_bytes": 3603300352,
        "sharded_bytes": 174358528
      },
      "warm_memory": {
        "complete_target_and_shadow_slot_bytes": 1134753382.4,
        "host_usable_bytes": 12800000000000.0,
        "occupied_paused_sessions": 11266,
        "packed_cpu_weight_reservation_bytes": 0.0,
        "scope": "physical DRAM capacity for complete canonical target states after worker weights and configured shadow reservations; independent of workload occupancy; HBM/NVMe/object excluded",
        "shadow_capacity_sessions": 0,
        "shadow_session_fraction": 0.0,
        "shadow_state_reservation_bytes": 0,
        "sidecar_usable_bytes": 0.0,
        "suffix_store_reservation_bytes": 15000000000,
        "target_slot_bytes": 1134753382.4,
        "usable_bytes_after_fixed_reservations": 12785000000000.0,
        "warm_stored_sessions": 11266
      }
    },
    "h100_full": {
      "cpu_background": {
        "active_sockets": 24,
        "admitted_shadow_sessions": 30000,
        "bandwidth_demand_bytes_per_s": 4382113983338.369,
        "beta_components": {
          "bandwidth": 1.0,
          "compute": 1.0,
          "memory": 1.0,
          "transfer": 1.0
        },
        "bootstrap": {
          "amortization_hours": 720,
          "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 6232638888.888889,
          "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 68266666666.666664,
          "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 3009259.2592592593,
          "bandwidth_bytes": 1.6155e+16,
          "compute_flops": 176947200000000000,
          "recurring_admission_fraction": 1.0,
          "required_amortized_rates": {
            "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 6232638888.888889,
            "compute_flops_per_s": 68266666666.666664,
            "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 3009259.2592592593
          },
          "shadow_sessions": 30000,
          "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": 14745.6,
          "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": 3686.4,
          "tokens": 122880000
        },
        "candidate_tokens_per_s": 84.80799642620366,
        "compute_demand_flops_per_s": 47799143713751.2,
        "concurrent_batch_slots": 96,
        "desired_maintained_episode_share": 1.0,
        "desired_shadow_sessions": 30000,
        "effective_maintained_episode_share": 1.0,
        "enabled": true,
        "evidence_class": "unqualified_background_target_no_online_speed_credit",
        "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 5512652543.102443,
        "external_transfer_capacity_bytes_per_s": 242681594912.63483,
        "failed_forecasts_per_s": 5.300499776637729,
        "forecasts_per_s": 10.600999553275457,
        "input_and_feedback_tokens_per_s": 33109.04180478991,
        "online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
        "packed_worker_weights_bytes": 180000000.0,
        "remaining_candidate_capacity_tokens_per_s": 176.88412113601888,
        "resource_admission_beta": 1.0,
        "stored_warm_sessions": 31466,
        "transfer_contract": "online service has priority; background coverage is reduced to fit remaining host PCIe and Full attach capacity"
      },
      "decode": {
        "lookup": {
          "accepted_length": 11.999999999999996,
          "effective_rate": 4894.627683209041,
          "fallback_to_native": false,
          "rate": 4894.627683209041,
          "seconds": 0.03922668125681011,
          "width": 16
        },
        "lookup_widths_searched": [
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5,
          6,
          7,
          8,
          9,
          10,
          11,
          12,
          13,
          14,
          15,
          16
        ],
        "mtp_widths_searched": [
          0,
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5
        ],
        "native": {
          "accepted_length": 3.6892800000000006,
          "rate": 1815.6169441590914,
          "seconds": 0.03251152738461539,
          "width": 5
        },
        "net_output_tokens_per_s": 4228.123290250738
      },
      "episode_service": {
        "decode_seconds": 0.24218782890299168,
        "decoded_output_tokens": 1024,
        "exposed_restore_seconds": 0.02681410917432434,
        "new_input_tokens": 1024,
        "prefill_seconds": 0.4856438818565401,
        "total_seconds_per_group": 0.7546458199338562,
        "true_miss_recomputed_context_tokens": 10485.76
      },
      "hbm_admission": {
        "admitted": true,
        "allowed_bytes_per_rank": 72000000000.0,
        "batch": 16,
        "checkpoint_bytes_per_rank": 41070624768,
        "required_bytes_per_rank": 70714949632.0,
        "state_bytes_per_rank_with_envelope": 1852770304.0000002
      },
      "mean_inter_token_seconds": 0.003784184826609245,
      "resource_admission": {
        "bytes_per_delivered_token_by_resource": {
          "full_external_fabric": 3437765.918674129,
          "gpu_service": 9.211985106614455e-05,
          "host_h2d": 3437765.918674129,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 10411217.901056001
        },
        "canonical_park_bytes_per_episode": 1836900352,
        "capacity_by_resource_tokens_per_s": {
          "full_external_fabric": 81448.24476821559,
          "gpu_service": 10855.423542554068,
          "host_h2d": 116354.63538316514,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 345780.8715764997
        },
        "limiting_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
        "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
        "lookup_candidates_per_episode": 1238.4200469245097,
        "lookup_rounds_per_episode": 77.40125293278186,
        "physical_host_count": 8,
        "resource_capacity_per_s": {
          "full_external_fabric": 280000000000.0,
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 400000000000,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 3600000000000
        },
        "total_use_per_s_including_cpu": {
          "full_external_fabric": 42834066889.72686,
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 42834066889.72686,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 113018179909.78366
        }
      },
      "restore": {
        "conditional_tier_mix": {
          "full_dram": 0.9957333333333334,
          "hbm": 0.004266666666666667,
          "nvme": 0.0,
          "object": 0.0
        },
        "exposed_restore_seconds_per_episode": 0.02681410917432434,
        "independence_note": "conditional storage-tier mix is independent of the true residual-miss assumption",
        "nvme_can_retain_all_working_sessions": true,
        "tier_counts": {
          "full_dram": 29872,
          "hbm": 128,
          "nvme": 0,
          "object": 0
        },
        "tier_duration_seconds": {
          "full_dram": 0.11708263594666667,
          "hbm": 0.0,
          "nvme": 0.21767479808,
          "object": 0.5438248567466667
        },
        "true_residual_miss_fraction": 0.08,
        "weighted_successful_restore_seconds": 0.11658308336662755
      },
      "state": {
        "broadcast_bytes": 11637792768,
        "canonical_bytes": 1836900352,
        "components": {
          "compressed_index": 51904512,
          "convolution": 31752192,
          "fp32_kda": 142606336,
          "growing_mla": 1610612736,
          "tail": 24576
        },
        "per_rank_bytes": 1684336640,
        "replicated_bytes": 1662541824,
        "serving_group_bytes": 13474693120,
        "sharded_bytes": 174358528
      },
      "warm_memory": {
        "complete_target_and_shadow_slot_bytes": 2280590387.2,
        "host_usable_bytes": 12800000000000.0,
        "occupied_paused_sessions": 29872,
        "packed_cpu_weight_reservation_bytes": 4320000000.0,
        "scope": "physical DRAM capacity for complete canonical target states after worker weights and configured shadow reservations; independent of workload occupancy; HBM/NVMe/object excluded",
        "shadow_capacity_sessions": 31466,
        "shadow_session_fraction": 1.0,
        "shadow_state_reservation_bytes": 8181160000000,
        "sidecar_usable_bytes": 58982400000000.0,
        "suffix_store_reservation_bytes": 15000000000,
        "target_slot_bytes": 2020590387.2,
        "usable_bytes_after_fixed_reservations": 71763080000000.0,
        "warm_stored_sessions": 31466
      }
    },
    "h100_native": {
      "cpu_background": {
        "active_sockets": 0,
        "admitted_shadow_sessions": 0,
        "bandwidth_demand_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
        "beta_components": {
          "bandwidth": 1.0,
          "compute": 1.0,
          "memory": 1.0,
          "transfer": 1.0
        },
        "bootstrap": {
          "amortization_hours": 720,
          "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
          "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
          "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
          "bandwidth_bytes": 0.0,
          "compute_flops": 0,
          "recurring_admission_fraction": 0.0,
          "required_amortized_rates": {
            "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
            "compute_flops_per_s": 0.0,
            "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0
          },
          "shadow_sessions": 0,
          "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": null,
          "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": null,
          "tokens": 0
        },
        "candidate_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "compute_demand_flops_per_s": 0.0,
        "concurrent_batch_slots": 0,
        "desired_maintained_episode_share": 0.0,
        "desired_shadow_sessions": 0,
        "effective_maintained_episode_share": 0.0,
        "enabled": false,
        "evidence_class": "unqualified_background_target_no_online_speed_credit",
        "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 0.0,
        "external_transfer_capacity_bytes_per_s": 389051638821.1218,
        "failed_forecasts_per_s": 0.0,
        "forecasts_per_s": 0.0,
        "input_and_feedback_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
        "packed_worker_weights_bytes": 180000000.0,
        "remaining_candidate_capacity_tokens_per_s": 0.0,
        "resource_admission_beta": 0.0,
        "stored_warm_sessions": 6327,
        "transfer_contract": "online service has priority; background coverage is reduced to fit remaining host PCIe and Full attach capacity"
      },
      "decode": {
        "lookup": {
          "accepted_length": 4.4631290880000005,
          "effective_rate": 2127.14317965829,
          "fallback_to_native": false,
          "rate": 2127.14317965829,
          "seconds": 0.03357087858066588,
          "width": 9
        },
        "lookup_widths_searched": [
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5,
          6,
          7,
          8,
          9,
          10,
          11,
          12,
          13,
          14,
          15,
          16
        ],
        "mtp_widths_searched": [
          0,
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5
        ],
        "native": {
          "accepted_length": 3.6892800000000006,
          "rate": 1815.6169441590914,
          "seconds": 0.03251152738461539,
          "width": 5
        },
        "net_output_tokens_per_s": 1884.6189088162678
      },
      "episode_service": {
        "decode_seconds": 0.543345922727251,
        "decoded_output_tokens": 1024,
        "exposed_restore_seconds": 0.03228094250298027,
        "new_input_tokens": 1024,
        "prefill_seconds": 1.7023459915611814,
        "total_seconds_per_group": 2.2779728567914126,
        "true_miss_recomputed_context_tokens": 39321.6
      },
      "hbm_admission": {
        "admitted": true,
        "allowed_bytes_per_rank": 72000000000.0,
        "batch": 16,
        "checkpoint_bytes_per_rank": 41070624768,
        "required_bytes_per_rank": 70714949632.0,
        "state_bytes_per_rank_with_envelope": 1852770304.0000002
      },
      "mean_inter_token_seconds": 0.008489780042613297,
      "resource_admission": {
        "bytes_per_delivered_token_by_resource": {
          "gpu_service": 0.0002780728584950455,
          "host_h2d": 3044442.0888468414,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 7921578.83776,
          "nvme": 2399414.557686199
        },
        "canonical_park_bytes_per_episode": 1836900352,
        "capacity_by_resource_tokens_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 3596.179812053888,
          "host_h2d": 131386.96297274946,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 454454.85978625686,
          "nvme": 40009.75975263509
        },
        "limiting_output_tokens_per_s": 3596.179812053888,
        "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
        "lookup_candidates_per_episode": 516.2297470164501,
        "lookup_rounds_per_episode": 57.35886077960557,
        "physical_host_count": 8,
        "resource_capacity_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 400000000000,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 3600000000000,
          "nvme": 96000000000
        },
        "total_use_per_s_including_cpu": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 10948361178.87818,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 28487421895.945812,
          "nvme": 8628726193.099318
        }
      },
      "restore": {
        "conditional_tier_mix": {
          "hbm": 0.004266666666666667,
          "host_dram": 0.2109,
          "nvme": 0.7848333333333334,
          "object": 0.0
        },
        "exposed_restore_seconds_per_episode": 0.03228094250298027,
        "independence_note": "conditional storage-tier mix is independent of the true residual-miss assumption",
        "nvme_can_retain_all_working_sessions": true,
        "tier_counts": {
          "hbm": 128,
          "host_dram": 6327,
          "nvme": 23545,
          "object": 0
        },
        "tier_duration_seconds": {
          "hbm": 0.0,
          "host_dram": 0.06459976874666667,
          "nvme": 0.21767479808,
          "object": 0.5438248567466667
        },
        "true_residual_miss_fraction": 0.3,
        "weighted_successful_restore_seconds": 0.18446252858845869
      },
      "state": {
        "broadcast_bytes": 11637792768,
        "canonical_bytes": 1836900352,
        "components": {
          "compressed_index": 51904512,
          "convolution": 31752192,
          "fp32_kda": 142606336,
          "growing_mla": 1610612736,
          "tail": 24576
        },
        "per_rank_bytes": 1684336640,
        "replicated_bytes": 1662541824,
        "serving_group_bytes": 13474693120,
        "sharded_bytes": 174358528
      },
      "warm_memory": {
        "complete_target_and_shadow_slot_bytes": 2020590387.2,
        "host_usable_bytes": 12800000000000.0,
        "occupied_paused_sessions": 6327,
        "packed_cpu_weight_reservation_bytes": 0.0,
        "scope": "physical DRAM capacity for complete canonical target states after worker weights and configured shadow reservations; independent of workload occupancy; HBM/NVMe/object excluded",
        "shadow_capacity_sessions": 0,
        "shadow_session_fraction": 0.0,
        "shadow_state_reservation_bytes": 0,
        "sidecar_usable_bytes": 0.0,
        "suffix_store_reservation_bytes": 15000000000,
        "target_slot_bytes": 2020590387.2,
        "usable_bytes_after_fixed_reservations": 12785000000000.0,
        "warm_stored_sessions": 6327
      }
    },
    "h100_software": {
      "cpu_background": {
        "active_sockets": 16,
        "admitted_shadow_sessions": 625,
        "bandwidth_demand_bytes_per_s": 59915858656.2536,
        "beta_components": {
          "bandwidth": 1.0,
          "compute": 1.0,
          "memory": 0.20833333333333334,
          "transfer": 1.0
        },
        "bootstrap": {
          "amortization_hours": 720,
          "amortized_bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 129846643.51851852,
          "amortized_compute_flops_per_s": 1422222222.2222223,
          "amortized_external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 62692.9012345679,
          "bandwidth_bytes": 336562500000000.0,
          "compute_flops": 3686400000000000,
          "recurring_admission_fraction": 1.0,
          "required_amortized_rates": {
            "bandwidth_bytes_per_s": 129846643.51851852,
            "compute_flops_per_s": 1422222222.2222223,
            "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 62692.9012345679
          },
          "shadow_sessions": 625,
          "time_seconds_at_25_percent_reservation": 1051.7578125,
          "time_seconds_at_full_reservation": 262.939453125,
          "tokens": 2560000
        },
        "candidate_tokens_per_s": 1.1595645266446095,
        "compute_demand_flops_per_s": 653549120249.3281,
        "concurrent_batch_slots": 64,
        "desired_maintained_episode_share": 0.1,
        "desired_shadow_sessions": 3000,
        "effective_maintained_episode_share": 0.020833333333333336,
        "enabled": true,
        "evidence_class": "unqualified_background_target_no_online_speed_credit",
        "external_transfer_bytes_per_s": 75373509.64612252,
        "external_transfer_capacity_bytes_per_s": 376272324186.7261,
        "failed_forecasts_per_s": 0.0724727829152881,
        "forecasts_per_s": 0.1449455658305762,
        "input_and_feedback_tokens_per_s": 452.6939912020555,
        "online_delivered_output_credit": 0,
        "packed_worker_weights_bytes": 180000000.0,
        "remaining_candidate_capacity_tokens_per_s": 4001.0097110847687,
        "resource_admission_beta": 0.20833333333333334,
        "stored_warm_sessions": 6245,
        "transfer_contract": "online service has priority; background coverage is reduced to fit remaining host PCIe and Full attach capacity"
      },
      "decode": {
        "lookup": {
          "accepted_length": 11.999999999999996,
          "effective_rate": 4894.627683209041,
          "fallback_to_native": false,
          "rate": 4894.627683209041,
          "seconds": 0.03922668125681011,
          "width": 16
        },
        "lookup_widths_searched": [
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5,
          6,
          7,
          8,
          9,
          10,
          11,
          12,
          13,
          14,
          15,
          16
        ],
        "mtp_widths_searched": [
          0,
          1,
          2,
          3,
          4,
          5
        ],
        "native": {
          "accepted_length": 3.6892800000000006,
          "rate": 1815.6169441590914,
          "seconds": 0.03251152738461539,
          "width": 5
        },
        "net_output_tokens_per_s": 3499.2298351738136
      },
      "episode_service": {
        "decode_seconds": 0.2926358222334761,
        "decoded_output_tokens": 1024,
        "exposed_restore_seconds": 0.03974940073875684,
        "new_input_tokens": 1024,
        "prefill_seconds": 0.8174717299578059,
        "total_seconds_per_group": 1.1498569529300389,
        "true_miss_recomputed_context_tokens": 18350.08
      },
      "hbm_admission": {
        "admitted": true,
        "allowed_bytes_per_rank": 72000000000.0,
        "batch": 16,
        "checkpoint_bytes_per_rank": 41070624768,
        "required_bytes_per_rank": 70714949632.0,
        "state_bytes_per_rank_with_envelope": 1852770304.0000002
      },
      "mean_inter_token_seconds": 0.004572434722398064,
      "resource_admission": {
        "bytes_per_delivered_token_by_resource": {
          "gpu_service": 0.00014036339757446764,
          "host_h2d": 3330497.1936966507,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 9732225.429248,
          "nvme": 2633814.9636677653
        },
        "canonical_park_bytes_per_episode": 1836900352,
        "capacity_by_resource_tokens_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 7124.3644517044795,
          "host_h2d": 120102.18797272853,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 369905.1184306742,
          "nvme": 36449.02976263508
        },
        "limiting_output_tokens_per_s": 7124.3644517044795,
        "limiting_resource": "gpu_service",
        "lookup_candidates_per_episode": 1044.2799159681008,
        "lookup_rounds_per_episode": 65.2674947480063,
        "physical_host_count": 8,
        "resource_capacity_per_s": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 400000000000,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 3600000000000,
          "nvme": 96000000000
        },
        "total_use_per_s_including_cpu": {
          "gpu_service": 1.0,
          "host_h2d": 23803112015.8213,
          "intra_node_broadcast": 69335920884.10881,
          "nvme": 18764257699.521954
        }
      },
      "restore": {
        "conditional_tier_mix": {
          "hbm": 0.004266666666666667,
          "host_dram": 0.20816666666666667,
          "nvme": 0.7875666666666666,
          "object": 0.0
        },
        "exposed_restore_seconds_per_episode": 0.03974940073875684,
        "independence_note": "conditional storage-tier mix is independent of the true residual-miss assumption",
        "nvme_can_retain_all_working_sessions": true,
        "tier_counts": {
          "hbm": 128,
          "host_dram": 6245,
          "nvme": 23627,
          "object": 0
        },
        "tier_duration_seconds": {
          "hbm": 0.0,
          "host_dram": 0.06459976874666667,
          "nvme": 0.21767479808,
          "object": 0.5438248567466667
        },
        "true_residual_miss_fraction": 0.14,
        "weighted_successful_restore_seconds": 0.18488093366863645
      },
      "state": {
        "broadcast_bytes": 11637792768,
        "canonical_bytes": 1836900352,
        "components": {
          "compressed_index": 51904512,
          "convolution": 31752192,
          "fp32_kda": 142606336,
          "growing_mla": 1610612736,
          "tail": 24576
        },
        "per_rank_bytes": 1684336640,
        "replicated_bytes": 1662541824,
        "serving_group_bytes": 13474693120,
        "sharded_bytes": 174358528
      },
      "warm_memory": {
        "complete_target_and_shadow_slot_bytes": 2046590387.2,
        "host_usable_bytes": 12800000000000.0,
        "occupied_paused_sessions": 6245,
        "packed_cpu_weight_reservation_bytes": 2880000000.0,
        "scope": "physical DRAM capacity for complete canonical target states after worker weights and configured shadow reservations; independent of workload occupancy; HBM/NVMe/object excluded",
        "shadow_capacity_sessions": 625,
        "shadow_session_fraction": 0.1,
        "shadow_state_reservation_bytes": 162500000000,
        "sidecar_usable_bytes": 0.0,
        "suffix_store_reservation_bytes": 15000000000,
        "target_slot_bytes": 2020590387.2,
        "usable_bytes_after_fixed_reservations": 12782120000000.0,
        "warm_stored_sessions": 6245
      }
    }
  },
  "schema_version": 1,
  "sensitivity": {
    "classification": "chosen target sensitivity, not a confidence interval",
    "full_residual_miss_fraction": [
      0.08,
      0.09,
      0.1,
      0.11,
      0.12
    ],
    "full_rows": [
      {
        "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10855.423542554068,
        "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.2111543664531643,
        "residual_miss": 0.08
      },
      {
        "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10117.83968784654,
        "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.3723460646099306,
        "residual_miss": 0.09
      },
      {
        "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 9474.110675818352,
        "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.533537762766697,
        "residual_miss": 0.1
      },
      {
        "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8907.394049713346,
        "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.6947294609234627,
        "residual_miss": 0.11
      },
      {
        "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 8404.64978856323,
        "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.8559211590802294,
        "residual_miss": 0.12
      }
    ],
    "rack_lower_readiness_case": {
      "arm_id": "h100_full",
      "classification": "separate lower-readiness case; not part of the residual-miss stripe",
      "delivered_output_tokens_per_s": 10175.211714501498,
      "energy_kwh_per_million_output_tokens": 2.3589698022310737,
      "lookup_output_share": 0.7648534540781986,
      "lookup_proposal_width": 16,
      "lookup_ready_round_fraction": 0.5,
      "mean_accepted_draft_prefix": 11,
      "residual_miss": 0.08,
      "verified_correction_or_bonus_tokens": 1
    }
  },
  "sidecar_power": {
    "24": {
      "active_sockets": 24,
      "admitted": true,
      "conservative_it_ac_kw": 17.210861796940865,
      "conservative_shelf_dc_w": 15559.443707093822,
      "direct_12v_it_ac_kw": 16.391943707093823,
      "direct_12v_shelf_dc_w": 14781.47152173913,
      "evidence_class": "component_arithmetic_from_operating_assumptions",
      "n_plus_one_dc_capacity_w": 24000,
      "operating_socket_cap": 48,
      "per_board_dc_w": 221.32608695652172,
      "utilization_fraction": 0.375
    },
    "48": {
      "active_sockets": 48,
      "admitted": true,
      "conservative_it_ac_kw": 25.770158978682407,
      "conservative_shelf_dc_w": 23655.151029748286,
      "direct_12v_it_ac_kw": 24.525151029748287,
      "direct_12v_shelf_dc_w": 22472.39347826087,
      "evidence_class": "component_arithmetic_from_operating_assumptions",
      "n_plus_one_dc_capacity_w": 24000,
      "operating_socket_cap": 48,
      "per_board_dc_w": 333.2391304347826,
      "utilization_fraction": 0.75
    },
    "64": {
      "active_sockets": 64,
      "admitted": false,
      "conservative_it_ac_kw": 31.568946284475498,
      "conservative_shelf_dc_w": 29140.24897025172,
      "direct_12v_it_ac_kw": 30.03524897025172,
      "direct_12v_shelf_dc_w": 27683.23652173913,
      "evidence_class": "component_arithmetic_from_operating_assumptions",
      "n_plus_one_dc_capacity_w": 24000,
      "operating_socket_cap": 48,
      "per_board_dc_w": 407.8478260869565,
      "utilization_fraction": 1.0
    }
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P01",
      "supports": "model geometry",
      "url": "https://huggingface.co/zai-org/GLM-5.3-Flash/blob/690b705278a3a58e538fcb37c2ca8b5f9511213c/config.json"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P02",
      "supports": "KDA and convolution state layout",
      "url": "https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/blob/6cbb3c154ef1449d2b3c9131a237f36faa695734/vllm/model_executor/layers/mamba/mamba_utils.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P03",
      "supports": "MTP state lineage",
      "url": "https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/blob/6cbb3c154ef1449d2b3c9131a237f36faa695734/vllm/models/glm5next/nvidia/mtp.py"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P04",
      "supports": "serving precision recipe",
      "url": "https://recipes.vllm.ai/zai-org/GLM-5.3-Flash"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P05",
      "supports": "reported 8K timing anchors; simulated acceptance",
      "url": "https://docs.sglang.io/cookbook/autoregressive/GLM/GLM-5.3-Flash.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P06",
      "supports": "GPU memory and bandwidth specifications",
      "url": "https://docs.nvidia.com/enterprise-reference-architectures/hgx-ai-factory-h100-h200-b200/latest/components.html"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P08",
      "supports": "native host, disk, object and broadcast tiers",
      "url": "https://docs.nvidia.com/dynamo/dev/reference/components/kvbm-configuration"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P09",
      "supports": "CPU socket specification, not measured power",
      "url": "https://www.amd.com/en/products/processors/server/epyc/9005-series/amd-epyc-9355p.html"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source_unavailable_live",
      "id": "P10",
      "supports": "NIC lineage only; live PDF returned 404",
      "url": "https://docs.broadcom.com/doc/957608-P2200GQF00-DS"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P11",
      "supports": "CPU worker geometry reference, not qualified software",
      "url": "https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-0.6B/blob/main/config.json"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P12",
      "supports": "k candidate drafts require k+1 target verification queries, including bonus-token logit",
      "url": "https://github.com/vllm-project/vllm/blob/6cbb3c154ef1449d2b3c9131a237f36faa695734/vllm/v1/worker/gpu_model_runner.py#L2917-L2945"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P13",
      "supports": "KVBM hybrid limitation and transition to framework-native offload; complete Flash tier integration remains a model assumption",
      "url": "https://github.com/ai-dynamo/dynamo/issues/13755#issuecomment-5481330975"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "primary_source",
      "id": "P14",
      "supports": "measured B200 versus H200 single-request 8K TTFT and concurrency-256 throughput on the sibling GLM-5.3 model with vendor-recommended stacks; basis for the 1.95x per-GPU B200 prefill ratio",
      "url": "https://docs.sglang.io/cookbook/autoregressive/GLM/GLM-5.3.md"
    },
    {
      "evidence_class": "local_planning_lineage",
      "id": "L01-L07",
      "supports": "BOM, power, topology and development assumptions",
      "url": "Revision_J/planning/website_four_arm_2026-09-04/SOURCES.md"
    }
  ],
  "status": "modeled service capacity; not measured and not latency-SLO goodput",
  "topology": {
    "admitted": true,
    "board_dac_trunks": 56,
    "board_endpoints": 112,
    "dual_homed_boards": 48,
    "external_raw_bytes_per_s": 400000000000.0,
    "external_usable_bytes_per_s": 280000000000.0,
    "failure_reason": null,
    "host_endpoints": 16,
    "host_trunks": 8,
    "per_switch_board_cages": 28,
    "per_switch_host_cages": 4,
    "reduced_plane_failure_coverage_boards": 16,
    "single_homed_boards": 16,
    "spare_cables": 8,
    "total_switch_cages": 64,
    "used_cables": 64
  }
}
